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Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first year?

$811,660 Vol.

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Predictions

In 2025
63%

Similar Predictions

Polymarket

Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?

38%
Kalshi

Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU auto sector in his first 100 days?

EU
69%
Kalshi

How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?

20% to 29.99%
41%
0.01% to 9.99%
7%
30% to 40%
4%
See (2 more)
Kalshi

Will the courts block any part of any of Trump's tariffs in 2025?

Before 2026
44%
Polymarket

Which countries will Trump tariff in first 100 days?

Japan
27%
European Union
83%
France
17%
See (5 more)
Kalshi

What countries will Trump tariff in 2025?

Taiwan
63%
Germany
32%
The European Union
98%
See (4 more)
Kalshi

Will Congress pass a law increasing tariffs in 2025?

Before 2026
23%
Kalshi

Will Trump end the de minimis exception for all tariffs in 2025?

Before 2026
34%

Live Trades

  • In 2025

    Yes @ 63%
    $1

  • In 2025

    Yes @ 61%
    $77

  • In 2025

    Yes @ 63%
    $1

  • In 2025

    Yes @ 61%
    $352

  • In 2025

    Yes @ 61%
    $648

  • In 2025

    Yes @ 61%
    $500

  • In 2025

    Yes @ 61%
    $12

  • In 2025

    Yes @ 61%
    $28

  • In 2025

    Yes @ 63%
    $28

  • In 2025

    Yes @ 61%
    $648