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Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?

$9,804 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

John Thune
+ 20.0%
15%
Kevin Cramer
8%
Mike Johnson
+ 21.1%
23%
Steve Daines
11%
Tom Cole
10%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

Republican nominee in 2028?

John Thune
1%
Donald J. Trump
7%
Donald J. Trump Jr.
5%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will John Thune no longer be Senate Majority Leader in 2025?

Yes
5%
Kalshi

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

John Thune
-100.0%
5%
Donald J. Trump Jr.
-15.2%
40%
Brian Kemp
-13.0%
35%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Who will be the Democratic VP nominee in 2028?

John Fetterman
+ 20.0%
3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
-10.0%
10%
Gretchen Whitmer
+ 5.9%
9%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Democratic nominee in 2028?

John Fetterman
2%
Bernie Sanders
1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Who will be the next Speaker of the House?

Steve Scalise
-100.0%
15%
Hakeem Jeffries
69%
Jim Jordan
15%
Kalshi

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

John Fetterman
31%
Andy Beshear
+ 6.0%
76%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
+ 2.5%
57%
See (2) more
Polymarket

Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?

13%
Kalshi

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?

Bill Hagerty
-50.0%
6%
No other person
-6.7%
53%
Ric Grenell
18%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Who will vote for the Cantwell-Grassley Trade Review Act of 2025 in the Senate?

John Thune
-100.0%
0%
Bill Cassidy
-100.0%
0%
Dan Sullivan
-100.0%
0%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Republican nominee for Senate in Ohio?

Dave Yost
1%
Jon Husted
84%
Jason Stephens
1%
See (2) more

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