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Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?

$16,110 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

John Thune
15%
Kevin Cramer
8%
Mike Johnson
-25.0%
3%
Steve Daines
12%
Tom Cole
0%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

Republican nominee in 2028?

John Thune
1%
Donald J. Trump
5%
Donald J. Trump Jr.
4%
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Kalshi

Will John Thune no longer be Senate Majority Leader in 2025?

Yes
3%
Kalshi

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

John Thune
6%
Brian Kemp
-10.3%
35%
Byron Donalds
-18.8%
20%
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Kalshi

Who will vote for the next budget rescission bill in the senate?

John Thune
+ 24.4%
56%
Dan Sullivan
-100.0%
45%
John Cornyn
-100.0%
42%
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Kalshi

Who will be the Democratic VP nominee in 2028?

John Fetterman
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
Gretchen Whitmer
+ 11.1%
10%
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Kalshi

Democratic nominee in 2028?

John Fetterman
1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
14%
Andy Beshear
+ 11.1%
5%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Who will be the next Speaker of the House?

Steve Scalise
0%
Hakeem Jeffries
+ 2.9%
71%
Jim Jordan
+ 19.2%
13%
Kalshi

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

John Fetterman
+ 4.2%
25%
Andy Beshear
75%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
+ 2.7%
57%
See (2) more
Polymarket

Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?

50%
Kalshi

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?

Bill Hagerty
-45.5%
3%
No other person
+ 4.8%
55%
Ric Grenell
+ 54.3%
27%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Who will vote for the Cantwell-Grassley Trade Review Act of 2025 in the Senate?

John Thune
-100.0%
0%
Bill Cassidy
-100.0%
0%
Dan Sullivan
-100.0%
0%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Republican nominee for Senate in Ohio?

Dave Yost
-100.0%
0%
Jon Husted
+ 4.2%
87%
Frank LaRose
-33.3%
1%
See (2) more

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