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What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

$201,875 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

Any deduction for overtime income
96%
Any deduction for Social Security income
3%
Changes to Medicaid’s matching rates
+ 1.0%
99%
Completely eliminate the IRA's EV tax credits
-29.3%
96%
Debt ceiling lift
100%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

What will the standard deduction be in the Republican reconciliation bill?

At least $15 thousand
99%
At least $25 thousand
-2.0%
96%
At least $20 thousand
93%
See (1) more
Kalshi

How many reconciliation bills will pass in 2025?

1
+ 4.0%
78%
0
+ 100.0%
1%
2
25%
See (2) more
Kalshi

When will a budget reconciliation bill become law?

Before December 2025
100%
Before September 2025
100%
Before August 2025
100%
See (1) more

Live Trades

  • Completely eliminate the IRA's EV tax credits

    Buy 20 No @ 91%
    $1.80

  • Changes to Medicaid’s matching rates

    Buy 2612 Yes @ 99%
    $2585.88

  • Changes to Medicaid’s matching rates

    Buy 199 Yes @ 99%
    $197.01

  • Changes to Medicaid’s matching rates

    Buy 1 Yes @ 98%
    $0.98

  • Changes to Medicaid’s matching rates

    Buy 1 Yes @ 98%
    $0.98

  • Completely eliminate the IRA's EV tax credits

    Buy 6 No @ 70%
    $1.80

  • IRA’s EV tax credit reduction

    Buy 20 No @ 91%
    $1.80

  • Changes to Medicaid’s matching rates

    Buy 5 Yes @ 98%
    $4.90

  • Completely eliminate the IRA's EV tax credits

    Buy 974 Yes @ 99%
    $964.26

  • Completely eliminate the IRA's EV tax credits

    Buy 5 Yes @ 98%
    $4.90