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Will there be a year without polio before 2030?

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Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

Before 2030
50%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?

In 2025
+ 38.9%
15%
Kalshi

Which vaccines will RFK end recommendations for in 2025?

Orthopoxviruses (Smallpox and Mpox)
-50.0%
50%
Polio
+ 50.0%
5%
Anthrax
-66.7%
23%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will RFK revoke the polio vaccine in 2025?

Before 2026
+ 71.4%
50%
Kalshi

Will the CDC end its recommendation for any vaccine in 2025?

Before Jan 1, 2026
29%
Kalshi

New pandemic in 2025?

By Dec 31, 2025
5%
Polymarket

Which vaccines will RFK end recommendations for?

Polio
-8.3%
6%
COVID-19
-2.2%
23%
HPV
15%
See (2) more
Kalshi

New COVID pandemic in 2025?

By Dec 31, 2025
4%
Polymarket

New pandemic in 2025?

-0.7%
7%
Kalshi

COVID new variant of concern reported in 2025?

Reported by Dec 31, 2025
-13.0%
12%
Kalshi

Measles cases in 2025?

Above 4000
-25.0%
5%
Above 1500
+ 1.2%
84%
Above 1700
-6.1%
31%
See (2) more

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