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Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?

$7,062,039 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

Amir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
2%
Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue
2%
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
6%
Donald Trump
+ 15.4%
14%
Elon Musk
1%

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Donald Trump
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Elon Musk
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Nobel Literature prize, 2025?

Haruki Murakami
22%
Gerald Murnane
+ 30.0%
13%
Mirceau Catarescu
13%
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Best Alternative Winner at the VMAs?

sombr
+ 10.0%
0%
Lola Young
62%
mgk & Jelly Roll
-53.6%
14%
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Best New Artist Winner at the VMAs?

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4%
Alex Warren
72%
Lola Young
17%
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Best Collaboration Winner at the VMAs?

Bailey Zimmerman with Luke Combs
0%
Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars
69%
ROSÉ & Bruno Mars
-37.5%
24%
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