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How many new drugs will the FDA approve this year?

$15,455 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

More than 35
-0.6%
81%
More than 40
-25.8%
40%
More than 45
-44.0%
14%
More than 50
-40.9%
8%
More than 55
-28.6%
7%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

Which drugs will the FDA approve in 2025?

Donidalorsen
+ 4.8%
88%
Elinzanetant
+ 17.2%
66%
Bumetanide nasal spray
-31.3%
51%
See (5) more
Kalshi

Will any Covid vaccine lose its FDA approval in 2025?

By Dec 31, 2025
-18.4%
20%
Kalshi

Will a new bird flu vaccine be approved in 2025?

Before 2026
13%
Kalshi

New pandemic in 2025?

By Dec 31, 2025
6%
Kalshi

Will the CDC end its recommendation for any vaccine in 2025?

Before Jan 1, 2026
29%
Kalshi

Will RFK end any vaccine approvals in 2025?

Before 2026
14%
Kalshi

US Bird flu (H5N1) cases in 2025?

Above 50
-29.2%
12%
Above 100
+ 7.7%
7%
Above 1 million
3%
See (2) more
Polymarket

Bird flu vaccine in 2025?

10%
Kalshi

Which vaccines will RFK end recommendations for in 2025?

Typhoid
5%
COVID-19
+ 2.4%
20%
Anthrax
12%
See (2) more
Kalshi

COVID new variant of concern reported in 2025?

Reported by Dec 31, 2025
+ 50.0%
15%
Kalshi

Will the FDA approve a vaccine for the new coronavirus in 2025?

Before 2026
4%

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  • More than 45

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    Buy 24 No @ 17%
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    Buy 400 No @ 19%
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    Buy 187 No @ 21%
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    Buy 1 No @ 21%
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    Buy 2 Yes @ 81%
    $1.62

  • More than 35

    Buy 7 Yes @ 81%
    $5.67