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How many new drugs will the FDA approve this year?

$4,884 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

More than 35
42%
More than 40
31%
More than 45
25%
More than 50
17%
More than 55
-26.7%
11%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

Which drugs will the FDA approve in 2025?

Bumetanide nasal spray
70%
Donidalorsen
70%
Elinzanetant
70%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will any Covid vaccine lose its FDA approval in 2025?

By Dec 31, 2025
+ 1.4%
33%
Kalshi

Will a new bird flu vaccine be approved in 2025?

Before 2026
-15.6%
14%
Kalshi

New pandemic in 2025?

By Dec 31, 2025
-6.7%
7%
Kalshi

Will the CDC end its recommendation for any vaccine in 2025?

Before Jan 1, 2026
53%
Kalshi

Will RFK end any vaccine approvals in 2025?

Before 2026
40%
Kalshi

US Bird flu (H5N1) cases in 2025?

Above 50
-2.9%
17%
Above 100
13%
Above 1 million
2%
See (2) more
Polymarket

Bird flu vaccine in 2025?

+ 8.0%
14%
Kalshi

Which vaccines will RFK end recommendations for in 2025?

Typhoid
-20.0%
4%
COVID-19
-6.3%
30%
Cholera
-50.0%
5%
See (2) more
Kalshi

COVID new variant of concern reported in 2025?

Reported by Dec 31, 2025
-10.0%
14%
Kalshi

Will the FDA approve a vaccine for the new coronavirus in 2025?

Before 2026
4%

Live Trades

  • More than 35

    Buy 20 Yes @ 46%
    $9.20

  • More than 35

    Buy 20 Yes @ 47%
    $9.40

  • More than 35

    Buy 54 Yes @ 45%
    $24.30

  • More than 60

    Buy 25 Yes @ 11%
    $2.75

  • More than 40

    Buy 99 Yes @ 36%
    $35.64

  • More than 40

    Buy 44 Yes @ 34%
    $14.96

  • More than 55

    Buy 31 Yes @ 15%
    $4.65

  • More than 50

    Buy 78 No @ 14%
    $67.08

  • More than 50

    Buy 374 No @ 12%
    $329.12

  • More than 50

    Buy 400 No @ 17%
    $332.00