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What will Republicans set as the highest income tax rate in their reconciliation bill?

$7,780 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

At least 37%
-4.0%
95%
At least 39.6%
5%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

More spending for Mexican border
99%
Extending the Trump income tax cut for the highest-earners
+ 0.5%
99%
Any deduction for overtime income
+ 0.5%
96%
See (2) more
Kalshi

How much will Republicans tax remittances?

At least 4%
-75.0%
1%
At least 7%
+ 207.1%
22%
At least 2%
-75.0%
1%
Kalshi

How much will Republicans increase the endowment tax?

At least 7%
+ 76.5%
90%
At least 2%
90%
At least 15%
-97.6%
10%
See (2) more
Kalshi

What will Republicans set as the QBI deduction?

At least 10%
50%
At least 15%
50%
At least 20%
50%
See (2) more
Polymarket

Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?

-26.1%
9%
Kalshi

Will Trump extend his tax cuts on the highest-earners in 2025?

Before Jan 1, 2026
99%
Kalshi

Will Trump cut income taxes for the highest earners in 2025?

Yes
+ 3.7%
14%
Kalshi

How much will Republicans increase defense spending in their reconciliation bill?

At least $125 billion
80%
At least $100 billion
80%
At least $50 billion
80%
See (2) more
Polymarket

Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?

-9.5%
9%
Kalshi

How much will the Republican reconciliation bill cut Medicaid?

At least $800 billion
+ 58.0%
50%
At least $600 billion
+ 96.0%
99%
At least $500 billion
-7.7%
91%
See (2) more
Kalshi

How much will the Republican reconciliation bill cut education spending?

At least $15 billion
+ 61.6%
80%
At least $5 billion
50%
At least $10 billion
50%
Kalshi

How much will the SALT tax cap deduction be raised to in 2025?

$40,000 or above
100%
$15,000 or above
100%
$20,000 or above
100%
See (2) more

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