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Will total US debt be above $38T at the end of 2025?

$57,252 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

Above $38 trillion
88%

Similar Predictions

Polymarket

Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

89%
Kalshi

Peak US National Debt in 2025

At least $37 trillion
97%
At least $38 trillion
+ 3.5%
89%
At least $39 trillion
-16.7%
12%
See (6) more
Kalshi

How much will US debt increase in 2025?

More than 130% of GDP
-6.3%
15%
More than 140% of GDP
+ 25.0%
8%
More than 150% of GDP
-30.0%
4%
Kalshi

Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration

$40 trillion
91%
$45 trillion
-2.4%
63%
$50 trillion
+ 20.3%
39%
Kalshi

How much will the government increase spending in 2025?

At least $1 trillion
+ 9.4%
29%
At least $500 billion
+ 5.4%
65%
Polymarket

Another US debt downgrade in 2025?

50%
Kalshi

US defaults in 2025?

Defaults
+ 66.7%
5%
Kalshi

When will the next US recession start?

Q4 2025
10%
Q1 2026
10%
Q3 2025
+ 25.0%
10%
See (2) more

Live Trades

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 2 Yes @ 88%
    $1.76

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 155 Yes @ 88%
    $136.40

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 25 Yes @ 87%
    $21.75

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 345 Yes @ 90%
    $310.50

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 23 Yes @ 86%
    $19.78

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 164 Yes @ 87%
    $142.68

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 5 Yes @ 86%
    $4.30

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 1 Yes @ 86%
    $0.86

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 15 No @ 77%
    $3.45

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 4 No @ 78%
    $0.88