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Will total US debt be above $38T at the end of 2025?

$41,046 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

Above $38 trillion
86%

Similar Predictions

Polymarket

Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

+ 2.2%
92%
Kalshi

How high will the national debt be in 2025?

At least $39 trillion
-13.2%
22%
At least $40 trillion
+ 16.7%
11%
At least $41 trillion
5%
See (4) more
Kalshi

How much will US debt increase in 2025?

More than 130% of GDP
+ 8.0%
25%
More than 140% of GDP
-4.3%
12%
More than 150% of GDP
+ 12.5%
4%
Kalshi

How high will be national debt be during the Trump Administration?

$40 trillion
-0.6%
89%
$45 trillion
55%
$50 trillion
35%
Kalshi

Will the debt ceiling be raised in 2025?

In 2025
+ 0.5%
99%
Kalshi

How much will the government increase spending in 2025?

At least $1 trillion
+ 9.7%
17%
At least $100 billion
+ 90.0%
95%
At least $500 billion
-22.3%
40%
Polymarket

Another US debt downgrade in 2025?

13%
Kalshi

US defaults in 2025?

Defaults
3%
Kalshi

When will the next US recession start?

Q4 2024
-29.2%
11%
Q1 2025
-8.3%
4%
Q3 2025
14%
See (1) more

Live Trades

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 6 No @ 86%
    $0.84

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 32 Yes @ 90%
    $28.80

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 38 Yes @ 85%
    $32.30

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 38 Yes @ 85%
    $32.30

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 51 Yes @ 85%
    $43.35

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 45 Yes @ 85%
    $38.25

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 525 No @ 82%
    $94.50

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 50 No @ 83%
    $8.50

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 36 No @ 82%
    $6.48

  • Above $38 trillion

    Buy 19 No @ 82%
    $3.42