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When will the next US recession start?

$234,731 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

Q1 2025
-33.3%
2%
Q1 2026
0%
Q2 2025
-25.0%
6%
Q3 2025
10%
Q4 2024
+ 33.3%
2%

Similar Predictions

Polymarket

US recession in 2025?

-3.8%
13%
Kalshi

What will Trump say in Aug 2025?

Recession
21%
Barack Hussein Obama
+ 314.6%
100%
Bill Clinton
-11.4%
30%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

Above 5%
-3.3%
61%
Kalshi

How much will US debt increase in 2025?

More than 130% of GDP
-6.3%
15%
More than 140% of GDP
8%
More than 150% of GDP
-30.0%
4%
Kalshi

Number of rate cuts in 2025?

14 or more cuts
+ 100.0%
1%
Exactly 10 cuts
1%
Exactly 11 cuts
1%
See (6) more
Polymarket

Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

50%
Kalshi

Will total US debt be above $38T at the end of 2025?

Above $38 trillion
88%
Kalshi

US meets its climate goals?

By 2025
+ 2.8%
16%
By 2030
-13.0%
20%
Kalshi

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?

At least 800
2%
At least 475
+ 11.1%
20%
At least 500
+ 57.9%
15%
See (2) more

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