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When will the next US recession start?

$197,751 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

Q1 2025
+ 10.0%
6%
Q2 2025
+ 3.8%
11%
Q3 2025
-15.2%
14%
Q4 2024
9%

Similar Predictions

Polymarket

US recession in 2025?

22%
Kalshi

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

Above 5%
65%
Kalshi

Will the debt ceiling be raised in 2025?

In 2025
-0.5%
100%
Kalshi

How much will US debt increase in 2025?

More than 130% of GDP
+ 8.0%
25%
More than 140% of GDP
-4.3%
12%
More than 150% of GDP
-11.1%
4%
Kalshi

Number of rate cuts in 2025?

10 cuts
-66.7%
1%
11 cuts
1%
12 cuts
1%
See (6) more
Polymarket

Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

92%
Kalshi

Will total US debt be above $38T at the end of 2025?

Above $38 trillion
86%
Kalshi

US meets its climate goals?

By 2025
-2.7%
19%
By 2030
+ 42.9%
30%
Kalshi

How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?

At least 800
4%
At least 475
43%
At least 500
25%
See (2) more

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