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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

$64,730 Vol.

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Price History

Predictions

13%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030
+ 0.9%
57%
Before 2026
-14.3%
6%
Polymarket

OpenAI acquired in 2025?

+ 23.1%
8%
Kalshi

Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models in 2025?

Before 2026
-26.3%
14%
Kalshi

Best AI at the end of 2025?

ChatGPT
19%
Gemini
49%
Grok
17%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will OpenAI announce an open source model in 2025?

an open-source language model
92%
Polymarket

Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?

+ 0.1%
94%
Kalshi

Best AI in Aug 2025?

ChatGPT
0%
Claude
0%
Deepseek
0%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
-28.6%
15%
Polymarket

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?

13%
Polymarket

Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?

6%
Kalshi

Best AI in Jul 2025?

ChatGPT
+ 9.1%
6%
Gemini
-2.8%
70%
Deepseek
-50.0%
1%
See (2) more
Polymarket

Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?

71%
Polymarket

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

March 31, 2026
35%
December 31, 2025
11%
Polymarket

How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

≥85% by November 3
8%
Polymarket

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?

-27.1%
35%
Polymarket

OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?

-7.4%
50%
Kalshi

Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?

Before 2027
+ 7.7%
14%
Kalshi

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Jan 1, 2026?

OpenAI
-8.5%
43%
Anthropic
25%
DeepSeek
4%
See (2) more

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