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Will existential AI risk be mentioned in the White House Briefing Room in 2025?

$44,100 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

Before 2026
-23.3%
15%

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

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AI passes Turing test before 2030?

Before 2030
+ 1.6%
65%
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Who will acquire Mistral AI in 2025?

Google/Alphabet
5%
Apple
+ 24.3%
23%
Amazon
5%
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Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2025?

Before Jan 1, 2026
-6.7%
16%
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Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?

50%
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Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?

Before 2027
+ 7.5%
40%
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Who will visit the White House before Jan 2026?

Sabrina Carpenter
1%
Brian Kemp
-2.9%
34%
Deion Sanders
22%
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Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?

Before 2035
-2.6%
39%
Kalshi

How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2025?

At least 10
80%
At least 15
-7.4%
50%
At least 20
+ 10.7%
31%
See (3) more
Polymarket

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

50%

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