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Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?

$19,784 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

Before 2035
40%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?

Before 2030
+ 16.7%
18%
Kalshi

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

Before 2030
34%
Kalshi

Who will join Anthropic in 2025?

Alexandr Wang
3%
Srinivas Narayanan
14%
Tony Wu
10%
See (1) more
Kalshi

NASA lands on the moon?

Before 2028
12%
Before 2027
4%
Before 2026
+ 33.3%
2%
Kalshi

AI passes Turing test before 2030?

Before 2030
64%
Kalshi

Will existential AI risk be mentioned in the White House Briefing Room in 2025?

Before 2026
14%
Kalshi

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

United States
30%
China
26%
European Space Agency
10%
See (2) more
Kalshi

TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Elon Musk
-11.8%
8%
AI
22%
Donald Trump
+ 3.1%
17%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will there be a crewed Starship flight this year?

Before Dec 31, 2025
3%

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