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Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?

$21,070 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

Before 2035
39%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?

Before 2030
+ 15.2%
19%
Kalshi

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

Before 2030
+ 17.9%
33%
Kalshi

Who will join Anthropic in 2025?

Alexandr Wang
4%
Srinivas Narayanan
14%
Tony Wu
10%
See (1) more
Kalshi

NASA lands on the moon?

Before 2026
50%
Before 2027
-42.9%
50%
Before 2028
50%
Kalshi

AI passes Turing test before 2030?

Before 2030
+ 4.8%
50%
Kalshi

Will existential AI risk be mentioned in the White House Briefing Room in 2025?

Before 2026
50%
Kalshi

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

United States
-11.5%
30%
China
+ 13.0%
26%
Russia
-71.4%
4%
See (2) more
Kalshi

TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Elon Musk
-42.9%
4%
AI
-7.9%
33%
Donald Trump
-15.2%
14%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will there be a crewed Starship flight this year?

Before Dec 31, 2025
50%

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