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Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

$25,878 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

Before 2030
+ 5.4%
33%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?

Before 2030
+ 17.9%
17%
Kalshi

Will Trump nationalize SpaceX?

Before Jan 2027
-31.8%
8%
Before Jul 2026
-50.0%
5%
Before Jan 2026
+ 100.0%
2%
Kalshi

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

Before 2030
78%
Kalshi

NASA lands on the moon?

Before 2028
+ 9.1%
11%
Before 2027
4%
Before 2026
1%
Kalshi

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?

Before 2035
-2.6%
39%
Kalshi

Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?

Before 2027
11%
Kalshi

Will there be a crewed Starship flight this year?

Before Dec 31, 2025
-33.3%
3%
Kalshi

Will Jeff Bezos sell the Washington Post in 2025?

Before 2026
-12.5%
8%
Polymarket

Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?

-23.8%
50%
Kalshi

Which of these smaller space companies will launch next?

Antares/MLV
+ 100.0%
8%
Neutron
+ 15.9%
40%
Nova
+ 36.4%
15%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?

Before 2027
+ 7.5%
41%
Kalshi

Will the US say that aliens exist in 2025?

Before 2026
4%
Kalshi

EU has a new member before 2030?

Any country
-4.9%
82%
Kalshi

Who will launch a coin in 2025?

Elon Musk
+ 14.3%
7%
Kanye West (Ye)
+ 221.7%
37%
MrBeast
-23.3%
12%
See (2) more
Kalshi

When will Jared Isaacman be confirmed as Administrator of NASA?

Before Dec 2025
+ 50.0%
3%

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