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Will the US say that aliens exist in 2025?

$887,262 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

Before 2026
4%

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

6%
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Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

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Will existential AI risk be mentioned in the White House Briefing Room in 2025?

Before 2026
15%
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US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

-5.0%
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NASA lands on the moon?

Before 2028
+ 9.1%
12%
Before 2027
-42.9%
4%
Before 2026
1%
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US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?

+ 9.5%
12%
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Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2025?

Before Jan 1, 2026
+ 3.2%
16%
Polymarket

US national XRP reserve in 2025?

+ 7.7%
7%
Kalshi

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

Before 2030
+ 17.9%
27%
Kalshi

Who will join Anthropic in 2025?

Srinivas Narayanan
14%
Tony Wu
10%
Igor Babuschkin
7%
See (1) more
Polymarket

US forces in Yemen in 2025?

50%
Kalshi

Who will join xAI in 2025?

Srinivas Narayanan
+ 23.5%
21%
Alexandr Wang
-100.0%
0%
Brad Lightcap
-100.0%
0%
See (2) more
Kalshi

How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2025?

At least 10
+ 5.6%
80%
At least 15
-7.4%
50%
At least 20
+ 10.7%
22%
See (3) more

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