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TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

$1,050,787 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

AI
24%
Benjamin Netanyahu
+ 6.7%
16%
ChatGPT
+ 9.1%
6%
Donald Trump
+ 5.9%
18%
Elon Musk
-17.6%
7%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

Before Jan 1, 2026
16%
Kalshi

Which companies will have a #1 AI model in 2025?

Anthropic
-7.7%
12%
Meta
+ 4.3%
12%
Mistral
+ 220.0%
3%
See (2) more
Polymarket

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

+ 36.0%
17%
Kalshi

Best AI at the end of 2025?

ChatGPT
-2.7%
18%
Gemini
-3.1%
47%
Grok
+ 6.5%
15%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
+ 40.0%
21%
Kalshi

How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025?

More than 500 billion petaFLOP
59%
More than 750 billion petaFLOP
43%
Kalshi

Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models in 2025?

Before 2026
+ 35.7%
19%
Kalshi

Will Anthropic release an "AI Safety Level 3" model before 2027?

Before 2027
80%
Kalshi

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

a case about AI and copyright law
28%

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