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TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

$892,545 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

AI
-12.1%
33%
Benjamin Netanyahu
-18.8%
6%
ChatGPT
-6.3%
8%
Donald Trump
-26.3%
14%
Elon Musk
-33.3%
5%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

Before Jan 1, 2026
+ 26.3%
12%
Kalshi

Which companies will have a #1 AI model in 2025?

Anthropic
14%
Meta
10%
Mistral
3%
See (2) more
Polymarket

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

-12.5%
50%
Kalshi

Best AI at the end of 2025?

ChatGPT
-12.5%
19%
Gemini
+ 0.9%
58%
Grok
-6.7%
15%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
50%
Kalshi

How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025?

More than 500 billion petaFLOP
-13.2%
66%
More than 750 billion petaFLOP
+ 22.9%
35%
Kalshi

Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models in 2025?

Before 2026
11%
Kalshi

Will Anthropic release an "AI Safety Level 3" model before 2027?

Before 2027
-7.1%
79%
Kalshi

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

a case about AI and copyright law
-16.7%
25%

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