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AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

$652,580 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

Before Jan 1, 2026
+ 33.3%
12%

Similar Predictions

Polymarket

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

-4.3%
11%
Kalshi

TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

AI
-6.5%
29%
Donald Trump
-41.2%
10%
ChatGPT
+ 13.3%
9%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Which companies will have a #1 AI model in 2025?

Anthropic
-7.7%
11%
Meta
+ 71.4%
11%
Nvidia
4%
See (2) more
Polymarket

How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

≥85% by November 3
-5.7%
8%
Kalshi

Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
11%
Kalshi

Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models in 2025?

Before 2026
11%
Kalshi

Best AI at the end of 2025?

ChatGPT
+ 2.9%
18%
Gemini
-2.6%
57%
Grok
+ 14.3%
16%
See (2) more
Polymarket

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

5%
Polymarket

Will a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?

5%
Kalshi

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2026
-8.3%
6%
Before 2030
49%
Before 2028
+ 9.6%
42%
Kalshi

How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025?

More than 500 billion petaFLOP
-13.2%
76%
More than 750 billion petaFLOP
-18.6%
35%
Kalshi

Will Anthropic release an "AI Safety Level 3" model before 2027?

Before 2027
+ 11.3%
75%
Kalshi

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

a case about AI and copyright law
+ 20.0%
25%
Kalshi

Who will acquire Mistral AI in 2025?

Apple
+ 24.3%
23%
Microsoft
10%
Amazon
+ 80.0%
9%
See (1) more
Kalshi

Which AI will be the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena?

ChatGPT
+ 35.3%
23%
Gemini
-12.8%
58%
Grok
21%
See (2) more

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