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How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

$103,571 Vol.

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Price History

Predictions

≥85% by November 3
+ 28.0%
11%

Similar Predictions

Polymarket

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

13%
Polymarket

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?

10%
Polymarket

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

+ 10.0%
17%
Kalshi

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030
57%
Before 2026
6%
Kalshi

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

Before Jan 1, 2026
+ 2.3%
22%
Kalshi

Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
15%

Live Trades

  • ≥85% by November 3

    Buy 10 Yes @ 9%
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  • ≥85% by November 3

    Buy 101 Yes @ 9%
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  • ≥85% by November 3

    Buy 22 Yes @ 8%
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  • ≥85% by November 3

    Buy 5 No @ 92%
    $0.36

  • ≥85% by November 3

    Sell 8 No @ 92%
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  • ≥85% by November 3

    Buy 14 Yes @ 8%
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  • ≥85% by November 3

    Buy 28 Yes @ 6%
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  • ≥85% by November 3

    Sell 57 Yes @ 6%
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  • ≥85% by November 3

    Sell 57 Yes @ 6%
    $3.42

  • ≥85% by November 3

    Sell 57 Yes @ 6%
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