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How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

$108,493 Vol.

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Price History

Predictions

≥85% by November 3
-8.5%
9%

Similar Predictions

Polymarket

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

5%
Polymarket

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?

9%
Polymarket

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

+ 4.8%
11%
Kalshi

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030
49%
Before 2026
6%
Before 2028
42%
Kalshi

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

Before Jan 1, 2026
+ 26.3%
12%
Kalshi

Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
8%

Live Trades

  • ≥85% by November 3

    Buy 5 No @ 93%
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  • ≥85% by November 3

    Buy 85 No @ 92%
    $6.77

  • ≥85% by November 3

    Buy 256 No @ 90%
    $25.60

  • ≥85% by November 3

    Sell 100 No @ 89%
    $89.09

  • ≥85% by November 3

    Buy 504 Yes @ 10%
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  • ≥85% by November 3

    Sell 142 Yes @ 9%
    $12.78

  • ≥85% by November 3

    Sell 26 No @ 89%
    $23.48

  • ≥85% by November 3

    Buy 13 No @ 90%
    $1.33

  • ≥85% by November 3

    Sell 247 No @ 89%
    $219.82

  • ≥85% by November 3

    Sell 101 No @ 91%
    $91.91