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AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?

$87,357 Vol.

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Predictions

9%

Similar Predictions

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GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?

50%
Kalshi

Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models in 2025?

Before 2026
16%
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How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

≥85% by November 3
-8.5%
8%
Kalshi

Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
8%
Polymarket

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

+ 4.8%
11%
Kalshi

How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025?

More than 500 billion petaFLOP
-12.6%
66%
More than 750 billion petaFLOP
35%
Kalshi

Which companies will have a #1 AI model in 2025?

Anthropic
-4.0%
11%
Meta
+ 41.2%
11%
Deepseek
-12.5%
7%
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Polymarket

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

5%
Polymarket

Will a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?

5%

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