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AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?

$42,281 Vol.

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Price History

Predictions

10%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models in 2025?

Before 2026
-26.3%
14%
Polymarket

How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

≥85% by November 3
+ 27.4%
11%
Kalshi

Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
-28.6%
15%
Polymarket

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

+ 17.6%
20%
Kalshi

How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025?

More than 500 billion petaFLOP
63%
More than 750 billion petaFLOP
-7.0%
40%
Kalshi

Which companies will have a #1 AI model in 2025?

Anthropic
13%
Meta
12%
Deepseek
16%
See (2) more
Polymarket

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

12%

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  • Sell 1 No @ 90%
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  • Sell 25 No @ 88%
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  • Sell 1 No @ 88%
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  • Buy 200 No @ 90%
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