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Which companies will have a #1 AI model in 2025?

$98,522 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

01A1
2%
Alibaba
-7.7%
7%
Anthropic
13%
Deepseek
16%
Meta
12%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

What will be the top AI model in Jul 2025?

gemini-2.5-pro
+ 4.2%
75%
gemini-2.5-pro-preview-05-06
1%
chatgpt-4o-latest-20250326
1%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will a Chinese AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
19%
Kalshi

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Jan 1, 2026?

Anthropic
+ 4.2%
25%
Google
-15.2%
20%
AbacusAI
2%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Best AI at the end of 2025?

Gemini
49%
Grok
+ 3.1%
16%
Claude
-11.1%
4%
See (2) more
Kalshi

How high will AI models score on SWE-Bench in 2025?

At least 80%
78%
At least 90%
-4.2%
23%
Kalshi

AI capability growth this year?

At least 1500 elo score
94%
At least 1550 elo score
-20.0%
56%
At least 1600 elo score
-14.8%
23%
Kalshi

What companies will announce hiring freezes on software engineers this year?

Google
14%
Microsoft
14%
Amazon
14%
See (2) more

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