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How high will AI models score on SWE-Bench in 2025?

$34,255 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

At least 80%
+ 1.3%
78%
At least 90%
-2.2%
23%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

AI capability growth this year?

At least 1500 elo score
94%
At least 1550 elo score
56%
At least 1600 elo score
-14.8%
23%
Kalshi

Will a Chinese AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
16%
Kalshi

Which companies will have a #1 AI model in 2025?

Zhipu AI
3%
01A1
2%
Deepseek
16%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Highest score of any LLM on OSWorld in 2025?

At least 50
69%
At least 60
46%
At least 80
21%
See (2) more

Live Trades

  • At least 90%

    Buy 232 Yes @ 24%
    $55.68

  • At least 90%

    Buy 50 Yes @ 30%
    $15.00

  • At least 90%

    Buy 190 Yes @ 32%
    $60.80

  • At least 90%

    Buy 109 Yes @ 30%
    $32.70

  • At least 90%

    Buy 12 Yes @ 27%
    $3.24

  • At least 90%

    Buy 71 Yes @ 26%
    $18.46

  • At least 90%

    Buy 100 Yes @ 30%
    $30.00

  • At least 90%

    Buy 88 Yes @ 31%
    $27.28

  • At least 90%

    Buy 5 Yes @ 30%
    $1.50

  • At least 90%

    Buy 50 Yes @ 29%
    $14.50