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Will a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?

$1,944 Vol.

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Predictions

5%

Similar Predictions

Polymarket

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

-4.3%
11%
Kalshi

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

Before Jan 1, 2026
+ 33.3%
9%
Kalshi

Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
11%
Kalshi

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030
49%
Before 2028
+ 9.6%
42%
Before 2026
-8.3%
6%
Polymarket

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?

9%
Kalshi

Best AI at the end of 2025?

ChatGPT
+ 2.9%
20%
Gemini
-2.6%
57%
Grok
+ 14.3%
16%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Best AI in Aug 2025?

ChatGPT
-16.7%
6%
Gemini
93%
Grok
+ 20.0%
5%
See (2) more
Polymarket

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

5%

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