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AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

$892,814 Vol.

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Price History

Predictions

-4.3%
11%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

Before Jan 1, 2026
+ 33.3%
9%
Polymarket

How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

≥85% by November 3
-5.7%
8%
Polymarket

Will a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?

5%
Polymarket

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

5%
Kalshi

Best AI at the end of 2025?

ChatGPT
+ 2.9%
18%
Gemini
-2.6%
57%
Grok
+ 14.3%
16%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
11%
Kalshi

Which companies will have a #1 AI model in 2025?

Anthropic
-7.7%
12%
Meta
+ 71.4%
12%
Deepseek
-12.5%
7%
See (2) more
Kalshi

TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

AI
-6.5%
29%
Donald Trump
-41.2%
10%
ChatGPT
+ 13.3%
9%
See (2) more
Kalshi

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030
49%
Before 2026
-8.3%
6%
Before 2028
+ 9.6%
42%
Kalshi

Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models in 2025?

Before 2026
11%
Polymarket

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?

9%
Kalshi

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

a case about AI and copyright law
+ 20.0%
30%
Kalshi

Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?

Amazon
-100.0%
4%
Apple
-100.0%
4%
Disney
-100.0%
4%
See (2) more
Kalshi

What companies will announce hiring freezes on software engineers this year?

Meta
6%
Apple
15%
Amazon
14%
See (2) more

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