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How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025?

$11,072 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

More than 500 billion petaFLOP
-13.2%
66%
More than 750 billion petaFLOP
-18.6%
43%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models in 2025?

Before 2026
11%
Kalshi

Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
8%
Kalshi

Which companies will have a #1 AI model in 2025?

Anthropic
-7.7%
12%
Meta
+ 71.4%
11%
Moonshot AI
+ 160.0%
5%
See (2) more
Polymarket

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?

9%
Kalshi

Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?

Before 2027
14%
Kalshi

TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

AI
-6.5%
29%
ChatGPT
+ 13.3%
10%
Donald Trump
-41.2%
10%
See (2) more
Kalshi

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

Before Jan 1, 2026
+ 33.3%
12%
Polymarket

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

5%
Kalshi

Will Anthropic release an "AI Safety Level 3" model before 2027?

Before 2027
+ 11.3%
79%
Kalshi

Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?

Paramount+
-100.0%
4%
Peacock
-100.0%
4%
Amazon
-100.0%
4%
See (2) more

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