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How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025?

$728 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

More than 500 billion petaFLOP
63%
More than 750 billion petaFLOP
-7.0%
40%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models in 2025?

Before 2026
-26.3%
14%
Kalshi

Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
-28.6%
15%
Kalshi

Which companies will have a #1 AI model in 2025?

Anthropic
13%
Meta
12%
Nvidia
3%
See (2) more
Polymarket

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?

10%
Kalshi

Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?

Before 2027
+ 7.7%
14%
Polymarket

Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?

-0.1%
94%
Kalshi

TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

AI
22%
Donald Trump
17%
Benjamin Netanyahu
16%
See (2) more
Kalshi

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

Before Jan 1, 2026
+ 22.2%
22%
Polymarket

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

12%
Kalshi

Will Anthropic release an "AI Safety Level 3" model before 2027?

Before 2027
-1.9%
79%

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  • More than 500 billion petaFLOP

    Buy 2 No @ 59%
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    Buy 429 Yes @ 67%
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  • More than 500 billion petaFLOP

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  • More than 750 billion petaFLOP

    Buy 100 No @ 43%
    $57.00

  • More than 750 billion petaFLOP

    Buy 3 No @ 35%
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