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Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?

$1,034 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

Before 2027
+ 7.7%
14%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models in 2025?

Before 2026
-26.3%
14%
Kalshi

Will Anthropic release an "AI Safety Level 3" model before 2027?

Before 2027
-1.9%
79%
Kalshi

Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
-28.6%
15%
Polymarket

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

13%
Kalshi

Which companies will have a #1 AI model in 2025?

Anthropic
13%
Meta
12%
Nvidia
3%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Best AI at the end of 2025?

ChatGPT
19%
Gemini
49%
Grok
16%
See (2) more
Polymarket

Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?

+ 0.1%
94%
Kalshi

How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025?

More than 500 billion petaFLOP
63%
More than 750 billion petaFLOP
40%
Kalshi

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030
+ 0.9%
57%
Before 2026
-14.3%
6%
Kalshi

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

a case about AI and copyright law
28%
Kalshi

What companies will announce hiring freezes on software engineers this year?

Microsoft
14%
Amazon
14%
Meta
13%
See (2) more

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