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Which AI will be the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena?

$27,508 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

ChatGPT
+ 2.2%
24%
Claude
2%
DeepSeek
2%
Gemini
-4.7%
61%
Grok
31%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

Best AI in Aug 2025?

ChatGPT
0%
Claude
0%
Deepseek
0%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Best AI at the end of 2025?

ChatGPT
19%
Gemini
+ 2.1%
49%
Grok
-3.0%
17%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Best AI in Jul 2025?

ChatGPT
+ 77.8%
8%
Gemini
-2.9%
67%
Claude
1%
See (2) more
Polymarket

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

24%
Kalshi

Will OpenAI raise the cost of ChatGPT in 2025?

Before 2026
+ 13.3%
17%
Kalshi

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030
57%
Before 2026
6%
Kalshi

Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
15%
Polymarket

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

13%
Kalshi

Which companies will have a #1 AI model in 2025?

Anthropic
13%
Meta
12%
Nvidia
3%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will GPT plateau?

Before Jan 1, 2026
+ 37.5%
6%
Kalshi

Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models in 2025?

Before 2026
14%
Kalshi

How much better will OpenAI's models be than Google's?

Above 200 points
3%
Above 0 points
35%
Above 20 points
-2.0%
25%
See (2) more
Kalshi

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

Before Jan 1, 2026
+ 2.3%
22%

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