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Which AI will be the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena?

$10,756 Vol.

Marketplace icon Go to Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

ChatGPT
-6.0%
24%
Claude
+ 38.9%
13%
DeepSeek
0.0%
5%
Gemini
0.0%
14%
Grok
-16.1%
31%

Similar Predictions

Polymarket

Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year?

Anthropic
-3.2%
46%
DeepSeek
0.0%
27%
Alibaba
0.0%
20%
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Kalshi

What will be the top AI model in Mar 2025?

ChatGPT-4o-latest (2024-11-20)
-50.0%
100%
chocolate (Early Grok-3)
-50.0%
100%
DeepSeek-R1
0.0%
100%
See (6 more)
Polymarket

Which company has best AI model end of March?

xAI
+ 5.5%
77%
Anthropic
-7.1%
65%
Alibaba
+ 11.1%
50%
See (4 more)
Polymarket

Which company has best AI model end of 2025?

Alibaba
+ 6.3%
3%
OpenAI
0.0%
28%
xAI
+ 6.4%
25%
See (4 more)
Polymarket

Which company has best AI model end of April?

xAI
+ 12.1%
56%
OpenAI
+ 8.3%
26%
DeepSeek
0.0%
5%
See (4 more)

Live Trades

  • Gemini

    Yes @ 18%
    $5

  • Grok

    Yes @ 31%
    $80

  • Grok

    Yes @ 31%
    $30

  • Claude

    Yes @ 9%
    $23

  • Claude

    Yes @ 17%
    $23

  • ChatGPT

    Yes @ 25%
    $11

  • Grok

    Yes @ 31%
    $21

  • Grok

    Yes @ 31%
    $323

  • Grok

    Yes @ 30%
    $56

  • ChatGPT

    Yes @ 25%
    $5