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How much better will OpenAI's models be than Google's?

$5,812 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

Above 0 points
35%
Above 100 points
4%
Above 200 points
3%
Above 20 points
-2.0%
25%
Above 37 points
13%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

Will GPT plateau?

Before Jan 1, 2026
+ 37.5%
6%
Kalshi

Will OpenAI stop being a non-profit?

Before Jan 1, 2026
-0.9%
57%
Polymarket

Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?

-0.1%
94%
Kalshi

Will OpenAI announce an open source model in 2025?

an open-source language model
+ 0.5%
92%
Kalshi

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030
57%
Before 2026
6%
Kalshi

Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
15%
Polymarket

Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?

6%

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