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Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?

$33,623 Vol.

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Price History

Predictions

+ 0.1%
94%

Similar Predictions

Polymarket

Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?

72%
Kalshi

Will OpenAI announce an open source model in 2025?

an open-source language model
92%
Kalshi

Will an open-source AI model reach #1 in 2025?

Before 2026
-28.6%
15%
Kalshi

Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models in 2025?

Before 2026
-26.3%
14%
Polymarket

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

13%
Kalshi

Best AI at the end of 2025?

ChatGPT
19%
Gemini
49%
Grok
16%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Best AI in Aug 2025?

ChatGPT
0%
Claude
0%
Deepseek
0%
See (2) more
Polymarket

OpenAI acquired in 2025?

+ 23.1%
8%
Kalshi

Will GPT plateau?

Before Jan 1, 2026
6%
Kalshi

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2026
-14.3%
6%
Before 2030
+ 0.9%
57%
Polymarket

GPT-5 released by…?

December 31
-1.9%
87%
July 31
+ 4.4%
19%
Kalshi

Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?

Before 2027
+ 7.7%
14%
Polymarket

OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?

-4.4%
1%
Kalshi

How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025?

More than 500 billion petaFLOP
63%
More than 750 billion petaFLOP
40%
Kalshi

How much better will OpenAI's models be than Google's?

Above 0 points
35%
Above 20 points
+ 2.0%
25%
Above 200 points
3%
See (2) more
Kalshi

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Glasses
17%
Clip-on device for clothing
32%
Earbuds/Headphones
+ 2.2%
24%
See (2) more

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