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Will GPT plateau?

$57,875 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

Before Jan 1, 2026
+ 37.5%
6%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030
57%
Before 2026
6%
Polymarket

GPT-5 released by…?

December 31
+ 2.1%
88%
July 31
+ 88.2%
27%
Kalshi

Will OpenAI raise the cost of ChatGPT in 2025?

Before 2026
+ 13.3%
17%
Polymarket

Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?

72%
Kalshi

How much better will OpenAI's models be than Google's?

Above 0 points
35%
Above 20 points
-2.0%
25%
Above 200 points
3%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will OpenAI announce an open source model in 2025?

an open-source language model
+ 0.5%
92%
Polymarket

Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?

-0.1%
94%
Kalshi

Will OpenAI stop being a non-profit?

Before Jan 1, 2026
-0.9%
53%
Kalshi

Best AI at the end of 2025?

ChatGPT
19%
Gemini
+ 2.1%
49%
Grok
-3.0%
17%
See (2) more
Kalshi

ChatGPT-5 revealed in 2025?

Revealed
84%
Kalshi

Which AI will be the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena?

ChatGPT
+ 2.2%
24%
Gemini
-4.7%
61%
Grok
31%
See (2) more

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