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How much will the Fed’s balance sheet shrink before 2026?

$5,706 Vol.

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Price History

Predictions

6.5 trillion
+ 4.8%
52%
6 trillion
0.0%
17%

Similar Predictions

Polymarket

Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?

-8.9%
4%
Kalshi

How much of government spending will Trump and Elon cut before 2027?

At least 250 billion
+ 8.5%
45%
At least 500 billion
+ 14.7%
39%
At least 1 trillion
+ 12.5%
18%
See (2 more)
Kalshi

How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut in 2025?

At least 1 trillion
+ 7.1%
7%
At least 2 trillion
0.0%
5%
At least 1 billion
-5.6%
43%
See (6 more)
Polymarket

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?

-7.1%
7%
Polymarket

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?

+ 7.1%
8%
Kalshi

Will Trump reduce the national debt?

Yes
+ 13.9%
67%
Polymarket

How much spending will DOGE cut in 2025?

<$50B
0.0%
70%
>$250B
+ 17.2%
17%
$50-100B
-22.5%
3%
See (3 more)
Polymarket

Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

-1.4%
70%
Polymarket

How much spending will DOGE cut in first 6 months?

<$250b
-0.6%
87%
$250-500b
-5.8%
7%
>$2T
+ 6.7%
80%
See (3 more)
Kalshi

How high will be national debt be during the Trump Administration?

$45 trillion
-0.9%
55%
$40 trillion
+ 1.1%
89%
$50 trillion
+ 13.5%
30%

Live Trades

  • 6 trillion

    Yes @ 14%
    $100

  • 6.5 trillion

    Yes @ 52%
    $1

  • 6 trillion

    Yes @ 18%
    $1

  • 6.5 trillion

    Yes @ 54%
    $3

  • 6 trillion

    Yes @ 18%
    $4

  • 6.5 trillion

    Yes @ 54%
    $9

  • 6 trillion

    Yes @ 18%
    $16

  • 6.5 trillion

    Yes @ 54%
    $46

  • 6 trillion

    Yes @ 18%
    $90

  • 6.5 trillion

    Yes @ 53%
    $500