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Will the deficit be smaller in 2025 than in 2024?

$131,694 Vol.

Marketplace icon Kalshi

Price History

Predictions

In fiscal year 2025
17%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

Will the debt ceiling be raised in 2025?

In 2025
+ 0.5%
100%
Polymarket

Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?

+ 2.2%
14%
Kalshi

Will Trump balance the budget?

During Trump's term
7%
Kalshi

How much will US debt increase in 2025?

More than 130% of GDP
+ 8.0%
25%
More than 140% of GDP
-4.3%
12%
More than 150% of GDP
-11.1%
4%
Kalshi

How much will the government increase spending in 2025?

At least $500 billion
+ 8.3%
40%
At least $1 trillion
+ 9.7%
17%
At least $100 billion
+ 1.1%
93%
Kalshi

How much will the Fed’s balance sheet shrink before 2026?

6.5 trillion
35%
6 trillion
4%
Kalshi

Will Trump ask for a budget rescission from Congress in 2025?

Before 2026
+ 0.5%
99%
Kalshi

Will Trump halve the trade deficit?

Halved
+ 4.1%
51%
Kalshi

Number of rate cuts in 2025?

4 cuts
-9.1%
5%
5 cuts
+ 14.3%
4%
11 cuts
-50.0%
1%
See (2) more
Kalshi

What agencies will have their budgets cut in 2025?

CFPB
-38.6%
51%
EPA
96%
SEC
+ 1.1%
94%
Kalshi

Filibuster weakened in 2025?

Threshold lowered
+ 27.8%
9%
Polymarket

Another US debt downgrade in 2025?

13%
Kalshi

US defaults in 2025?

Defaults
4%
Kalshi

When will the next US recession start?

Q4 2024
11%
Q3 2025
16%
Q2 2025
-18.5%
11%
See (1) more

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