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Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?

$124,223 Vol.

Marketplace icon Polymarket

Price History

Predictions

14%

Similar Predictions

Polymarket

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?

+ 2.4%
2%
Polymarket

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?

-3.0%
2%
Kalshi

Will Trump balance the budget?

During Trump's term
7%
Kalshi

How much of government spending will Trump and Elon cut before 2027?

At least 250 billion
+ 8.3%
26%
At least 500 billion
-9.1%
15%
At least 2 trillion
9%
See (2) more
Kalshi

How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut in 2025?

At least 1 trillion
4%
At least 2 trillion
3%
At least 1 billion
+ 4.0%
14%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will the deficit be smaller in 2025 than in 2024?

In fiscal year 2025
+ 6.3%
17%
Kalshi

How much of government spending will Trump and Elon cut before Trump's term ends?

At least 250 billion
44%
At least 500 billion
42%
At least 750 billion
28%
See (2) more
Kalshi

Will Trump halve the trade deficit?

Halved
51%
Kalshi

How much will the Fed’s balance sheet shrink before 2026?

6.5 trillion
-8.6%
32%
6 trillion
-50.0%
2%
Polymarket

Trump abolishes the Federal Income Tax in 2025?

6%
Kalshi

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

Extending the Trump income tax cut for the highest-earners
+ 1.0%
99%
Any deduction for overtime income
+ 0.5%
96%
Completely eliminate the IRA's EV tax credits
+ 13.0%
96%
See (2) more
Polymarket

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

Reduce tax on Social Security
+ 38.9%
2%
Extension of income tax cut for High Earners
+ 0.2%
100%
SALT cap increase
+ 0.1%
100%
See (1) more

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