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Will Trump halve the trade deficit?

$1,707 Vol.

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Predictions

Halved
26%

Similar Predictions

Kalshi

Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first year?

In 2025
62%
Polymarket

Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?

38%
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Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?

30%
Kalshi

Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?

Yes
30%
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Will Trump and Congress cut any foreign aid in 2025?

Before 2026
86%
Polymarket

Trump cuts taxes in 2025?

93%
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Will Trump make a new free trade agreement?

Before 2029
88%
Kalshi

Will Trump extend his tax cuts on the highest-earners in 2025?

Before Jan 1, 2026
90%
Polymarket

Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?

38%
Kalshi

Will Trump cut income taxes for the highest earners in 2025?

Yes
24%
Kalshi

Will the courts block any part of any of Trump's tariffs in 2025?

Before 2026
44%
Kalshi

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

Before 2029
66%
Kalshi

Will Trump end the de minimis exception for all tariffs in 2025?

Before 2026
34%
Kalshi

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

During Trump's term
28%
Kalshi

Will Trump cut dividend taxes in 2025?

Before 2026
18%
Kalshi

Will Congress pass a law increasing tariffs in 2025?

Before 2026
23%
Kalshi

How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?

More than 40%
4%
0.01% to 9.99%
7%
30% to 40%
4%
See (2 more)
Kalshi

Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU auto sector in his first 100 days?

EU
69%

Live Trades

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    Yes @ 25%
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    Yes @ 26%
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    Yes @ 25%
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    Yes @ 27%
    $8

  • Halved

    Yes @ 28%
    $51

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    Yes @ 28%
    $10